Vicenza vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
43.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1942 |
VIC
2 - 1
TRI
52%
23%
26%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
FIO
4 - 2
VIC
71%
15%
14%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
VIC
1 - 2
ROM
30%
24%
46%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1942 |
GEN
6 - 1
VIC
79%
12%
9%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1942 |
VIC
3 - 0
PRO
64%
19%
18%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1942 |
ACM
1 - 3
FIO
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
ROM
1 - 1
ACM
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
ACM
0 - 0
GEN
58%
21%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1942 |
JUV
1 - 1
ACM
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1942 |
LIV
2 - 3
ACM
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |