Vicenza vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
19.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
USC
2 - 0
VIC
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
VIC
2 - 2
REG
58%
21%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
TRE
1 - 1
VIC
58%
21%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
VIC
3 - 0
SPA
38%
22%
40%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
ANC
2 - 2
VIC
43%
24%
34%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
SAL
0 - 3
MES
56%
21%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
MES
1 - 0
VNZ
62%
19%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
MES
0 - 0
PIS
68%
17%
15%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
FAN
1 - 0
MES
63%
18%
19%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
SPE
0 - 1
MES
58%
20%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |