Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 3-1
Vicenza vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
VIC
3 - 2
PIA
60%
24%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
PES
0 - 1
VIC
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
SAM
2 - 1
VIC
72%
18%
11%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
JUV
3 - 0
VIC
76%
17%
7%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1997 |
NAP
1 - 0
VIC
48%
28%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
WAR
1 - 0
DYS
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
POL
1 - 1
WAR
26%
25%
49%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
WAR
3 - 3
RCH
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
RAK
1 - 1
WAR
28%
28%
45%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1997 |
WAR
0 - 1
OWD
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |