Vicenza vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
15.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
SSS
2 - 0
VIC
29%
33%
38%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
VIC
2 - 0
TER
56%
26%
18%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
PAL
1 - 0
VIC
41%
31%
29%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
REG
1 - 1
VIC
44%
31%
25%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
VIC
1 - 0
BRE
71%
21%
9%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
GEN
3 - 1
ATL
63%
24%
14%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
CAT
2 - 1
GEN
35%
34%
32%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
GEN
3 - 2
REG
63%
24%
13%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
GEN
2 - 0
BRI
70%
21%
9%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
VAR
0 - 0
GEN
57%
27%
16%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |