Vicenza vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
CAT
1 - 0
VIC
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
VIC
1 - 0
TER
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
VIC
0 - 1
ABN
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
PRO
1 - 2
VIC
23%
24%
54%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
VIC
2 - 4
ATL
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
CRO
0 - 1
CES
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
PRG
2 - 1
CRO
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
CRO
4 - 0
BAR
43%
25%
31%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +3 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
CRO
0 - 1
MES
33%
27%
41%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
ACI
1 - 1
CRO
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |