Vicenza vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
TOR
3 - 3
VIC
54%
23%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
VIC
0 - 3
ACM
25%
24%
51%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
ACM
0 - 0
VIC
82%
12%
7%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1961 |
VIC
4 - 0
ROM
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
ATL
1 - 0
VIC
51%
24%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
ACM
3 - 0
CAT
83%
11%
6%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
CAT
0 - 0
SPA
48%
25%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
CAT
2 - 0
INT
27%
25%
49%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +2 |
| 30 May. 1961 |
TOR
2 - 1
CAT
57%
23%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
PAD
2 - 1
CAT
68%
19%
14%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |