Vicenza vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
17.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1951 |
VIC
1 - 2
BAR
60%
21%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
VNZ
4 - 0
VIC
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
BRE
0 - 2
VIC
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1951 |
VIC
2 - 1
SIR
65%
19%
17%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
VIC
1 - 0
MES
61%
20%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1951 |
MOD
3 - 3
CAT
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
CAT
2 - 0
BAR
55%
22%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
CAT
1 - 2
MES
55%
21%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1951 |
SPA
4 - 0
CAT
74%
15%
11%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
SPE
0 - 1
CAT
58%
20%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |