Vicenza vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
15.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
VIC
1 - 2
PES
21%
22%
57%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
VIC
1 - 1
CTT
41%
25%
33%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
VIC
1 - 3
CAR
29%
28%
44%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
VIC
0 - 0
PRG
38%
29%
33%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
LAT
2 - 1
VIC
44%
28%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 2
TUT
60%
23%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
AVE
3 - 1
CAS
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
CAS
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CAS
4 - 2
PAG
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
MES
1 - 1
CAS
29%
27%
43%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |