Serie C Playoffs Ascenso Quarter-finals
Global 3-0
Vicenza vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
29%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
VIC
0 - 0
TAR
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
TAR
0 - 1
VIC
24%
28%
47%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
USA
1 - 2
VIC
8%
19%
73%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VIC
2 - 0
TRE
65%
22%
13%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 2
VIC
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PAD
3 - 2
TRI
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FIO
1 - 1
PAD
12%
22%
66%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PAD
2 - 0
ATA
62%
24%
14%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ACL
1 - 1
PAD
19%
25%
56%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
CAT
4 - 2
PAD
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |