Vicenza vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
14%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
JUV
3 - 1
VIC
72%
18%
11%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
VIC
2 - 1
MES
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
ROM
0 - 0
VIC
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
GEN
3 - 1
VIC
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
VIC
2 - 2
ATL
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1965 |
FCC
0 - 0
PAD
43%
30%
27%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
PAD
2 - 0
PRO
61%
24%
16%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
VER
2 - 1
PAD
47%
28%
25%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
LEC
4 - 1
PAD
57%
25%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
PAD
0 - 0
ASS
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |