Vicenza vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
37.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
LIV
1 - 1
VIC
65%
23%
13%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
VIC
2 - 0
SAL
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
MOD
3 - 1
VIC
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
SAS
0 - 0
VIC
54%
26%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
VIC
0 - 3
ABN
44%
28%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
PIA
2 - 2
BRE
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
BRE
2 - 2
LIV
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2009 |
SAL
3 - 0
BRE
26%
27%
46%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
BRE
1 - 1
MOD
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
TRI
1 - 2
BRE
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |