Vicenza vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
42%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
VIC
0 - 2
CAT
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
ARZ
0 - 0
VIC
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
VIC
3 - 2
TOR
32%
29%
39%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2006 |
MAN
0 - 1
VIC
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
VIC
0 - 1
CRO
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2006 |
BOL
1 - 1
TOR
57%
25%
18%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
CRO
3 - 0
BOL
35%
29%
37%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
BOL
1 - 0
BAR
68%
21%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
PIA
2 - 1
BOL
41%
29%
31%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
BOL
3 - 1
BRE
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |