Vicenza vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
VIC
2 - 2
ACM
40%
23%
37%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
TRI
0 - 2
VIC
48%
23%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
VIC
1 - 1
SAM
56%
21%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1943 |
VIC
1 - 1
ACL
60%
20%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1943 |
VIC
0 - 1
GEN
45%
23%
33%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
BOL
1 - 0
AND
75%
14%
12%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
ATL
0 - 1
BOL
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
BOL
2 - 2
MOD
80%
12%
8%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1943 |
BOL
2 - 5
GEN
66%
18%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1943 |
GEN
3 - 1
BOL
60%
20%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |