Vicenza vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
26.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
PIA
1 - 0
VIC
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
VIC
1 - 1
PAR
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
FRO
0 - 0
VIC
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
VIC
1 - 1
TRE
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2008 |
RIM
0 - 1
VIC
61%
23%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2009 |
LIV
1 - 0
ASC
60%
24%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
ASC
1 - 0
TRE
63%
22%
14%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
SAL
1 - 2
ASC
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
ASC
1 - 0
EMP
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
MOD
3 - 0
ASC
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |