Vicenza vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
14.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1972 |
MAN
0 - 1
VIC
47%
28%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
VIC
1 - 0
SAM
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
CAG
3 - 0
VIC
69%
20%
12%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
INT
2 - 1
VIC
77%
16%
8%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1972 |
VIC
0 - 1
FIO
34%
31%
36%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1972 |
VAR
1 - 1
FIO
27%
30%
43%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
CAG
1 - 1
VAR
76%
17%
7%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
VAR
0 - 1
SAM
42%
31%
27%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
VAR
2 - 4
MAN
53%
30%
17%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1972 |
JUV
1 - 0
VAR
84%
11%
5%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |