Vicenza vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
11.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 0
VIC
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
VIC
3 - 1
FER
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2013 |
INT
3 - 1
VIC
87%
10%
4%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
VIC
0 - 0
REG
35%
27%
39%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
MOD
0 - 1
VIC
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
PAV
2 - 3
POR
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
REG
0 - 1
PAV
43%
27%
31%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
PAV
0 - 2
ABN
27%
27%
46%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
TRA
3 - 0
PAV
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
PAV
2 - 1
USC
29%
29%
43%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |