Vicenza vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.4%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
37.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SPE
2 - 1
VIC
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SIE
4 - 2
VIC
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
EMP
1 - 2
VIC
60%
21%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
VIC
6 - 0
ASA
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
CAT
0 - 1
VIC
75%
17%
8%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
CES
0 - 3
SAS
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CES
3 - 2
CRO
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CES
2 - 1
LEO
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CES
2 - 3
ROM
17%
23%
61%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
NOV
3 - 0
CES
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |