Sao Vicente vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
56.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sao Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
IND
1 - 0
SVA
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SEP
0 - 1
SVA
70%
18%
12%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
SVA
1 - 2
TAU
20%
22%
57%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
INT
1 - 0
SVA
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SVA
1 - 1
AME
23%
24%
53%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 0
NOV
32%
25%
44%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 2
FRA
66%
19%
15%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
IND
3 - 1
NOV
36%
24%
40%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 1
FLA
11%
19%
70%
|
49 | 79 | 30 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
NOV
38%
24%
38%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |