Sao Vicente vs Guaçuano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
52.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sao Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
VOT
4 - 2
SVA
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SVA
1 - 2
NOV
21%
23%
57%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
IND
1 - 0
SVA
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SEP
0 - 1
SVA
70%
18%
12%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
SVA
1 - 2
TAU
20%
22%
57%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Guaçuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
INT
2 - 1
GUA
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 2
SER
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
FRA
1 - 0
GUA
37%
26%
38%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
GUA
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 2
AME
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |