Vianense vs Maria da Fonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
5º
2º
25
9º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 51% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 49% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vianense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 0
VIA
25%
23%
53%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
VIA
2 - 1
SMA
34%
29%
37%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 1
VIA
40%
23%
38%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MON
0 - 0
VIA
15%
19%
67%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
VIA
0 - 1
TIR
40%
26%
34%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Maria da Fonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
TIR
24%
25%
51%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
VPE
2 - 0
MAR
58%
21%
22%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 2
MER
34%
24%
43%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
PED
3 - 1
MAR
54%
24%
22%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 3
AMA
24%
24%
52%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |