Vianense vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
2º
10º
10º
24
5º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vianense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 0
VIA
64%
22%
14%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 3
VIA
62%
22%
17%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
VIA
84%
12%
3%
|
36 | 66 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
VIA
1 - 2
FEL
19%
24%
57%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
VIA
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FAF
1 - 3
ANA
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CAN
3 - 1
FAF
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FAF
0 - 0
BRA
26%
25%
49%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FAF
2 - 1
TRO
14%
24%
62%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FEL
1 - 0
FAF
74%
17%
9%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |