Vianense vs Atlético Arcos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
11º
6º
12
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 55 |
1º
|
74.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 50 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 43 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 42 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 38 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 37 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 34 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 33 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 33 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 30 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 26 |
13º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 23 |
14º
|
61% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
7.5% | 99% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vianense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TIR
3 - 2
VIA
49%
27%
24%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
VIA
1 - 2
PEV
26%
28%
46%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
VIA
1 - 3
POR
5%
13%
83%
|
37 | 67 | 30 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VIA
1 - 0
BRI
32%
24%
44%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
VIA
2 - 1
VIN
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 10 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Arcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
ATA
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ATA
0 - 2
VIL
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
JOA
0 - 0
ATA
32%
23%
46%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 2
ATA
29%
21%
50%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ATA
0 - 1
BRA
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |