VfR Neumunster vs Kilia Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
60.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+101%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
14º
13º
52
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 72 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 68 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 65 |
3º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 57 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 45 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 44 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 42 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 41 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 38 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 38 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 37 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 32 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
|
13º
|
19 | 30 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 29 |
14º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 23 |
15º
|
67% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 12 |
16º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 70.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
63.5% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation
|
36.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Neumunster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
TRT
0 - 3
VFR
52%
20%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
VFR
4 - 2
UNI
14%
17%
70%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +3 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
VFR
1 - 1
LUB
51%
21%
28%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
VFR
1 - 6
HEI
18%
19%
64%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
OLD
3 - 1
VFR
47%
22%
32%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Kilia Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
KIL
1 - 1
EIC
26%
24%
51%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
DOR
2 - 5
KIL
9%
14%
77%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
KIL
3 - 2
EUT
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
KIL
3 - 1
HOH
77%
13%
10%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 3
KIL
23%
19%
58%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |