VfR Neumunster vs Eutin 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
14º
13º
25
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 72 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 68 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 65 |
3º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 57 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 45 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 44 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 42 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 41 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 38 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 38 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 37 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 32 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
|
13º
|
19 | 30 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 29 |
14º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 23 |
15º
|
67% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 12 |
16º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
63.5% | 97% |
|
Relegation
|
36.5% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Neumunster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KIL
2 - 0
VFR
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
VFR
3 - 3
NOR
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
EIC
1 - 1
VFR
79%
14%
7%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
VFR
5 - 0
UNI
14%
17%
69%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +5 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VFR
2 - 3
HEI
31%
22%
47%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Eutin 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
EIC
1 - 0
EUT
80%
14%
7%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
EUT
5 - 1
HUL
78%
13%
9%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 1
EUT
22%
19%
59%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
EUT
4 - 0
ECZ
77%
14%
9%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
TOD
0 - 3
EUT
9%
13%
78%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |