VfR Neumunster vs B. Dortmund II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
58.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+98%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Neumunster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
S04
1 - 1
VFR
86%
10%
5%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
VFR
1 - 3
PAD
23%
25%
52%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
CHE
3 - 1
VFR
72%
18%
11%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
VFR
0 - 3
ROT
21%
25%
55%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
HOL
4 - 0
VFR
79%
14%
8%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
BOR
2 - 1
WER
45%
23%
32%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
DIE
2 - 2
BOR
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
BOR
4 - 4
SAC
52%
23%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
PRE
0 - 2
BOR
42%
24%
35%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
S04
0 - 2
BOR
47%
23%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |