VfR Mannheim vs TSG Backnang analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
33.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
7º
18º
9º
42
7º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
63% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
VIL
4 - 0
VFR
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
VFR
0 - 1
FRE
14%
18%
68%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
FVH
3 - 1
VFR
15%
17%
68%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
VFR
0 - 4
STU
11%
19%
70%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
WWO
4 - 1
VFR
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
TSG Backnang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
TSB
1 - 1
PFO
26%
23%
51%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
TSB
3 - 1
1FC
46%
22%
32%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
OFF
3 - 0
TSB
46%
22%
32%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
TSB
2 - 1
NEC
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FSV
1 - 1
TSB
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |