VfR Mannheim vs Oberachern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
31.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
7º
18º
9º
42
9º
18º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
63% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 59% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 41% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
FSV
4 - 0
VFR
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
VFR
4 - 0
ATS
23%
20%
57%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +3 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GOP
1 - 0
VFR
66%
19%
16%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
VFR
2 - 1
TSB
43%
23%
34%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
VIL
4 - 0
VFR
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Oberachern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
OBE
2 - 2
PFO
30%
23%
48%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
OBE
1 - 5
REU
63%
18%
19%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FSV
1 - 1
OBE
52%
21%
27%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
OBE
2 - 5
ATS
47%
21%
33%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
OBE
0 - 2
SCF
8%
16%
76%
|
28 | 87 | 59 | 0 |