VfR Mannheim vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1974 |
FCM
2 - 0
VFR
63%
19%
17%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1974 |
BAY
2 - 0
VFR
69%
20%
12%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1974 |
VFR
2 - 4
SVS
50%
24%
27%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1974 |
PIR
1 - 1
VFR
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1974 |
VFR
3 - 1
FCN
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | +2 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1974 |
STP
8 - 3
M05
63%
18%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
M05
1 - 2
SAA
59%
22%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
HOM
3 - 2
M05
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1974 |
DAR
1 - 2
M05
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1974 |
M05
1 - 2
SCH
75%
15%
10%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |