VfR Mannheim vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
39.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1975 |
WWO
3 - 1
VFR
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1975 |
VFR
1 - 3
HEI
44%
24%
32%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1975 |
M05
1 - 1
VFR
84%
12%
5%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
VFR
1 - 5
BAY
43%
26%
32%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1975 |
SVS
1 - 0
VFR
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1975 |
HOM
3 - 3
SAA
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1975 |
AUG
1 - 0
HOM
57%
22%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1975 |
WWO
2 - 1
HOM
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
HOM
4 - 0
HEI
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1975 |
M05
2 - 5
HOM
66%
19%
15%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |