VfR Mannheim vs FSV Hollenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
26.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
10º
3º
25
1º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 88 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 76 |
2º
|
90.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 65 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 61 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 58 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 57 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 50 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 49 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 44 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 43 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 39 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 35 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 34 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
53.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 20 |
18º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
6% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 97% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VFR
2 - 3
VFR
64%
21%
16%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
VFR
5 - 2
SVF
56%
20%
23%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PFO
1 - 1
VFR
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VFR
1 - 0
FCV
50%
22%
29%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OBE
1 - 1
VFR
51%
21%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FSV Hollenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FSV
1 - 0
RAV
41%
22%
37%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
TSB
0 - 0
FSV
44%
22%
35%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FSV
1 - 0
TSV
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 1
FSV
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
FSV
2 - 2
NOT
25%
23%
53%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +1 |