VfR Mannheim vs Freiburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
REU
3 - 3
VFR
53%
24%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
VFR
1 - 3
HEI
41%
26%
34%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
LUD
0 - 1
VFR
19%
23%
58%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
VFR
0 - 1
KSC
61%
22%
18%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
NOR
2 - 2
VFR
13%
19%
68%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Freiburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
FRE
3 - 1
CRA
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
REU
1 - 1
FRE
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
FRE
5 - 3
FRE
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
FRE
1 - 0
STU
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
HEI
1 - 0
FRE
67%
20%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |