VfR Mannheim vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
VFR
4 - 1
VIL
75%
17%
9%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
ULM
3 - 1
VFR
58%
22%
21%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
VFR
3 - 2
BAH
72%
18%
10%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
BON
1 - 0
VFR
17%
22%
60%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
VFR
1 - 1
FVL
78%
16%
6%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
FRE
0 - 1
REU
13%
21%
66%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
HEI
2 - 1
FRE
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
FRE
0 - 3
LUD
50%
25%
25%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
KSC
3 - 0
FRE
73%
17%
10%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
FRE
0 - 2
NOR
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -2 |