VfR Mannheim vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
47.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1974 |
WAL
2 - 0
VFR
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1974 |
VFR
1 - 4
KSC
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1974 |
VFR
8 - 0
SCS
86%
10%
4%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1974 |
SCH
4 - 1
VFR
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
VFR
2 - 2
BAY
39%
25%
36%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1974 |
FCN
2 - 0
SGF
77%
16%
7%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1974 |
HEI
0 - 3
FCN
46%
26%
29%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1974 |
FCN
2 - 2
FWM
81%
12%
8%
|
70 | 39 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1974 |
FCN
2 - 1
SVS
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
BAY
3 - 1
FCN
38%
28%
35%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |