VfR Mannheim vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
50.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1997 |
WAL
3 - 1
VFR
77%
16%
8%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
VFR
3 - 0
HES
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1997 |
SCW
3 - 1
VFR
46%
23%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
VFR
1 - 2
DIT
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
ULM
4 - 0
VFR
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
GUT
1 - 0
CZJ
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
LOK
0 - 0
CZJ
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
CZJ
1 - 4
SCF
27%
24%
49%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
FCN
1 - 3
CZJ
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1997 |
CZJ
1 - 1
STP
37%
26%
38%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |