VfR Mannheim vs Denzlingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
11.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
7º
18º
9º
36
6º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
63% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
VFR
2 - 0
REU
44%
23%
34%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
PFO
5 - 0
VFR
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VFR
1 - 2
OBE
46%
23%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
FSV
4 - 0
VFR
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
VFR
4 - 0
ATS
23%
20%
57%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Denzlingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DEN
1 - 2
PFO
14%
18%
68%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
OBE
5 - 0
DEN
79%
12%
9%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
DEN
0 - 2
FSV
21%
21%
59%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
ATS
2 - 2
DEN
82%
11%
7%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
DEN
1 - 3
GOP
17%
19%
64%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |