VfR Mannheim vs ATSV Mutschelbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
56.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
7º
18º
9º
41
6º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
63% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 63% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 37% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GOP
1 - 0
VFR
66%
19%
16%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
VFR
2 - 1
TSB
43%
23%
34%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
VIL
4 - 0
VFR
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
VFR
0 - 1
FRE
14%
18%
68%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
FVH
3 - 1
VFR
15%
17%
68%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
ATSV Mutschelbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ATS
6 - 4
PFO
41%
22%
37%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
OBE
2 - 5
ATS
47%
21%
33%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ATS
1 - 3
FSV
61%
19%
20%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
VIL
4 - 4
ATS
47%
21%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ATS
1 - 1
RAV
57%
19%
24%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |