VFR Horst 1946 vs Kilia Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VFR Horst 1946
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
HEI
1 - 1
VFR
59%
21%
20%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
VFR
1 - 1
SCH
28%
24%
48%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
HOL
7 - 0
VFR
83%
12%
6%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
VFR
4 - 3
NTS
56%
22%
22%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
ITZ
3 - 1
VFR
59%
21%
20%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Kilia Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
HOL
6 - 0
KIL
85%
10%
5%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
KIL
5 - 2
NTS
39%
24%
37%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
ITZ
5 - 1
KIL
75%
16%
9%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
ALT
4 - 2
KIL
69%
18%
13%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
KIL
2 - 3
KRO
18%
22%
60%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |