VFR Horst 1946 vs Itzehoe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
38.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VFR Horst 1946
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
LUB
3 - 0
VFR
62%
20%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
VFR
0 - 1
VFR
21%
23%
57%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
VFR
1 - 0
HUS
70%
18%
12%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
HUL
2 - 2
VFR
71%
17%
13%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
VFR
3 - 1
ALT
41%
24%
35%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Itzehoe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ITZ
1 - 3
HOL
21%
23%
57%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
ITZ
0 - 1
COK
61%
21%
19%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
HUL
3 - 1
ITZ
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
NTS
1 - 4
ITZ
20%
22%
57%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
VFR
1 - 2
ITZ
68%
19%
13%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +1 |