VFR Horst 1946 vs Holstein Kiel II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
62.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VFR Horst 1946
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
NTS
2 - 1
VFR
29%
23%
47%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
VFR
1 - 2
ITZ
37%
25%
38%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
LUB
3 - 0
VFR
62%
20%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
VFR
0 - 1
VFR
21%
23%
57%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
VFR
1 - 0
HUS
70%
18%
12%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2009 |
HOL
4 - 0
LUB
74%
15%
11%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
VFR
1 - 0
HOL
37%
26%
38%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
HEI
2 - 0
HOL
30%
24%
46%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ITZ
1 - 3
HOL
21%
23%
57%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
HUL
1 - 5
HOL
36%
24%
40%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |