VFR Horst 1946 vs Flensburg 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
45.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VFR Horst 1946
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2009 |
EIB
2 - 4
VFR
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
VFR
2 - 0
HEI
24%
24%
52%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
SCH
3 - 2
VFR
62%
21%
18%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
VFR
0 - 2
HOL
16%
21%
63%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
NTS
2 - 1
VFR
29%
23%
47%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Flensburg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2009 |
FLE
2 - 0
HEI
36%
25%
39%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
VFR
4 - 0
FLE
67%
19%
14%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
FLE
3 - 0
HUS
68%
19%
13%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
FLE
1 - 4
EIB
45%
24%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
HEI
1 - 1
FLE
37%
25%
38%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |