VfR Heilbronn vs Hoffenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
69.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Heilbronn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
FCT
5 - 5
HEI
18%
23%
58%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2001 |
HEI
3 - 2
SGH
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
FRE
1 - 2
HEI
47%
25%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
HEI
3 - 3
KSC
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
STU
0 - 1
HEI
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hoffenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
HOF
6 - 2
FVL
85%
11%
4%
|
68 | 35 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2001 |
DIT
3 - 3
HOF
10%
19%
72%
|
68 | 32 | 36 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
LUD
1 - 5
HOF
10%
20%
70%
|
68 | 31 | 37 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
HOF
5 - 0
FCT
78%
15%
7%
|
68 | 15 | 53 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2001 |
HOF
4 - 1
FRE
84%
12%
4%
|
68 | 36 | 32 | 0 |