VfR Heilbronn vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Heilbronn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
BAY
2 - 0
HEI
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
HEI
4 - 2
SVS
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1974 |
SGF
1 - 3
HEI
47%
26%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1974 |
HEI
0 - 0
VFR
74%
16%
10%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
SAA
4 - 1
HEI
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1974 |
AUG
0 - 0
M05
60%
21%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1974 |
M05
3 - 0
BAY
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1974 |
SVS
2 - 2
M05
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
M05
2 - 3
SGF
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1974 |
VFR
2 - 5
M05
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | +1 |