VfR Heilbronn vs Freiburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Heilbronn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
VIL
1 - 2
HEI
21%
24%
55%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
HEI
0 - 2
SVS
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
KSC
0 - 1
HEI
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
LUD
0 - 0
HEI
41%
26%
34%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
HEI
2 - 0
BAH
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Freiburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
FRE
2 - 2
LUD
48%
25%
27%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
BAH
0 - 0
FRE
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
FRE
0 - 0
AJL
44%
26%
30%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
WEI
1 - 2
FRE
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
FRE
0 - 1
FVL
51%
25%
24%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |