VfR Heilbronn vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Heilbronn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
PFO
0 - 1
HEI
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
HEI
2 - 0
DEN
75%
15%
9%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2001 |
HEI
0 - 3
HOF
11%
19%
70%
|
37 | 68 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
FCT
5 - 5
HEI
18%
23%
58%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2001 |
HEI
3 - 2
SGH
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
FRE
1 - 4
LUD
26%
24%
50%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
BAH
6 - 1
FRE
65%
20%
16%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |