VfR Heilbronn vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
65.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Heilbronn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1992 |
TSH
0 - 3
HEI
30%
24%
46%
|
51 | 7 | 44 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1980 |
HEI
0 - 3
KAI
13%
18%
70%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | -4 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
F95
3 - 0
HEI
84%
11%
5%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1978 |
HEI
1 - 0
TUS
90%
7%
3%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1976 |
SSV
3 - 1
HEI
50%
22%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1992 |
KFC
2 - 1
LEV
25%
30%
46%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1992 |
LEV
6 - 1
S04
57%
24%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1992 |
RTV
2 - 2
LEV
34%
29%
37%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1992 |
LEV
1 - 0
KAI
51%
26%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1992 |
LEV
5 - 1
KSC
52%
26%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |