VfR Garching vs Türkspor Augsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
8º
17º
17º
29
8º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LAN
6 - 0
VRG
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VRG
2 - 1
DAC
23%
21%
56%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FCG
2 - 2
VRG
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
VRG
0 - 1
FCP
18%
20%
63%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
HEI
4 - 1
VRG
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Türkspor Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TUR
0 - 0
SON
16%
20%
64%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
KIR
1 - 1
TUR
74%
17%
9%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TUR
0 - 1
ERL
19%
22%
59%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
RAI
2 - 0
TUR
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
TUR
1 - 7
TSA
12%
18%
70%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | -1 |