VfR Garching vs SV Erlbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
5.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
WOL
0 - 6
VRG
27%
22%
52%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
VRG
4 - 1
SCH
67%
19%
15%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
VRG
4 - 1
BOG
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
DAC
3 - 0
VRG
22%
21%
57%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -2 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
VRG
0 - 1
AMB
35%
26%
40%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
SV Erlbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
ERL
0 - 0
DAC
16%
20%
64%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
ERL
0 - 2
LAN
19%
20%
61%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
ERL
2 - 2
UNT
17%
21%
62%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
ERL
79%
13%
7%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |