VfR Garching vs Sonthofen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
FCP
2 - 3
VRG
37%
22%
41%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
VRG
3 - 0
ERL
84%
11%
5%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
WOL
0 - 6
VRG
27%
22%
52%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
VRG
4 - 1
SCH
67%
19%
15%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
VRG
4 - 1
BOG
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sonthofen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
SON
3 - 2
DAC
39%
24%
37%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
LAN
2 - 1
SON
49%
22%
29%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
SON
1 - 1
UNT
38%
26%
36%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
SON
56%
21%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
SON
4 - 3
KOT
57%
22%
22%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |