VfR Garching vs Schwabmünchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BOG
0 - 1
VRG
20%
22%
58%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
VRG
2 - 0
WOL
72%
17%
12%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
WAC
1 - 3
VRG
35%
23%
42%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
PUL
0 - 1
VRG
55%
22%
24%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
VRG
3 - 3
LAN
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Schwabmünchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SCH
1 - 1
PUL
30%
24%
47%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 2
SCH
54%
23%
23%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SCH
1 - 1
FCP
38%
24%
38%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ISM
1 - 2
SCH
44%
25%
31%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
SCH
1 - 2
SON
49%
23%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |