VfR Garching vs Nürnberg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
40.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
VRG
0 - 3
ING
6%
13%
80%
|
38 | 69 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
MUN
5 - 2
VRG
75%
17%
8%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
BUC
2 - 3
VRG
50%
24%
27%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
VRG
0 - 2
AUG
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
VIK
1 - 1
VRG
45%
23%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
WAC
0 - 0
NUR
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
CZJ
2 - 2
NUR
76%
16%
8%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
NUR
2 - 2
EIC
31%
24%
45%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
VIK
2 - 1
NUR
34%
24%
42%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
WAC
2 - 0
NUR
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |